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Ask the Experts: Turning Data into Stories That Shape New Jersey’s Future
At New Jersey Future, research is more than numbers on a page; it’s a tool for understanding communities, challenging assumptions, and helping decision-makers create smarter, more equitable policies. Few people embody that mission more fully than Tim Evans.
As New Jersey Future’s Research Director, Tim has spent years analyzing trends in housing, transportation, land use, and demographic change, helping transform complex datasets into insights that are both understandable and actionable. He brings both analytical depth and practical perspective to the organization’s policy work.
But what makes Tim’s research especially impactful is his ability to connect data back to people. Whether he’s examining inequities in housing patterns, exploring how communities are evolving, or challenging long-standing assumptions about development trends, his work consistently centers fairness, transparency, and public understanding.
In this edition of Ask the Experts, we sat down with Tim to talk about the role of research in policy, the importance of credibility in today’s information landscape, and the emerging trends shaping New Jersey’s future.
A Conversation with Tim Evans, research director
Q: Your work sits at the intersection of research, policy, and storytelling. How do you turn complex data into information that people can actually understand and act on?
Tim: I think about how I would explain something to my friends who have an interest in development but are not statisticians. I’m writing for an educated citizen or decision maker, not for an academic journal. Also, I think it helps that when I am starting to explore and analyze a data set, I tend to ask myself questions in plain English too. If the question is easily understandable, the findings will be easier to explain.
Q: You’ve spent years analyzing trends that shape New Jersey’s communities. What’s one finding or pattern that has genuinely surprised you over the course of your career?
Tim: I loved discovering that the “Millennials want to live in town and don’t want to live in sprawl” narrative turned out to be backed up by actual data! And conversely, the narrative about “downsizing Baby Boomers want to move into town” was NOT backed up by data. I got some pushback on that last point!
Q: Many people think of data as numbers on a spreadsheet, but your work clearly influences real people and real communities. How do you stay connected to the human impact behind the data?
Tim: According to my mom, I’ve always had an impulse to stick up for the underdog. In the land development and housing world, if I see a situation where it seems like somebody is getting the short end of the stick, I’ll look at the data to see if I can quantify what’s unfair about it. The very first research report I wrote at NJF, in 2003, about the concentration of affordable housing in just a handful of distressed places, kind of set the template.
Q: You regularly support not only New Jersey Future, but also partner organizations across the smart growth community. What role do collaboration and shared information play in advancing policy solutions?
Tim: I have a healthy recognition of the limits of my own knowledge. Nobody can be an expert on everything, so when I start investigating a topic that I may not be well-versed in, I have no problem seeking advice from people who are. That helps me ask better questions of the data. By the same token, I’m happy to give advice to, or even work together with, people from other organizations who come to me with a good policy question but aren’t sure how to measure it, which is where my expertise lies. We can generally be more convincing to people whose minds we’re trying to change when we combine two or more groups’ expertise than when one group tries to do everything itself.
Q: You have academic backgrounds in mathematics, statistics, and city and regional planning. How have those disciplines together shaped the way you approach problem-solving?
Tim: I think a big part of NJF’s credibility comes from my having brought the Census Bureau’s ethos with me into my job at NJF, where we don’t get out ahead of the facts. Yes, we have a policy agenda, so we’re not neutral on a lot of issues, but at the same time, we try not to make statements that can’t be backed up by factual analysis. y education and professional experience as both a data producer and a data user help me figure out the right kinds of questions to ask, but also what kind of data might be able to answer them.
Q: What’s the biggest misconception people tend to have about research and data analysis in policy work?
Tim: That it’s unimportant and that people are ultimately going to make decisions based on their feelings. Advocates may feel this way sometimes, because they think it’s hard to explain data to people. And yes, for average citizens who feel strongly about something (whether in favor or against), they don’t want to hear that the facts don’t support their position. However, if I’m a decision-maker trying to decide whether to change a law or allocate money to something, then I absolutely want to do so based on facts and not just feelings. So, I think the people who are ultimately our target audience do appreciate policy advocacy that’s informed by data analysis.
Q: In today’s fast-moving information environment, accuracy and credibility are more important than ever. How do you ensure New Jersey Future’s research and communications remain trustworthy and defensible?
Tim: By telling people where I got my information, and by being upfront about what assumptions or judgement calls I’m making. So even if I can’t *prove* a causal relationship between two factors, for example, I can at least describe how I decided to measure the relationship. Then I challenge the doubters to say how they think I should have done it differently. Being transparent about the process helps bring people on board with the conclusions, if they can see the logical progression and can’t point to a specific place where they think I made a mistake. I also don’t have a problem saying “I don’t know” or “I’d have to look into that more before I could render an opinion either way.” I don’t like to make definitive statements on topics where I’m just going by my subjective impressions, because first impressions often turn out to be wrong.
Q: Looking ahead, what emerging trend or issue in New Jersey are you paying closest attention to right now — and why?
Tim: I’m excited that the issue of local street design is gaining traction. Since the 1950s, we as a society have designed everything with the unspoken assumption that vehicles take precedence over people, even in the center of town where pedestrians ought to take priority, and I feel like in the last few years people are really starting to challenge that.
After speaking with Tim Evans, one thing becomes immediately clear: behind every chart, dataset, and policy report is someone deeply committed to people, fairness, and the future of New Jersey’s communities. His ability to translate complex research into meaningful, real-world insight is part of what makes New Jersey Future’s work both credible and impactful.
Whether he’s analyzing housing trends, challenging long-held assumptions, or advocating for streets designed with people in mind, his work reminds us that data is never just about numbers, it’s about lives, neighborhoods, and opportunities.
Perhaps most refreshing of all, Tim approaches it all with honesty, transparency, and the rare confidence to simply say, “I don’t know yet, but let’s find out.” At New Jersey Future, that spirit of thoughtful inquiry continues to move the conversation forward.
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